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Articles by Scott Winship

Does America Have Less Economic Mobility? Part 2

Scott Winship | 04/22/2015

Nothing in the Corak, Linduist, and Mazumder paper suggests that U.S. and Swedish levels of mobility differ meaningfully from each other. That still leaves the 2006 paper by Jantti and his coauthors, which found that the U.S. had lower relative mobility—at least for sons starting out at the bottom—than Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland, and the U.K. I’ll explain why this paper’s conclusion is also incorrect and explore some additional research comparing the U.S. to other countries in my final installment.


Does America Have Less Economic Mobility? Part 1

Scott Winship | 04/20/2015

The new evidence does not suggest that the U.S. has especially high economic mobility, but it does indicate that America is not the international laggard that has been portrayed by earlier studies. In this multi-part series, I will lay out the case for this surprising conclusion. In this installment, I review how the old consensus developed and discuss the methodological details necessary for understanding why the early mobility research gave the wrong impression. 


Will Welfare Reform Increase Upward Mobility?

Scott Winship | 03/26/2015

One possible force for greater upward mobility is the welfare reforms of the 1990s. Hear me out, because I think the case is stronger than is generally admitted. We probably won’t know the answer for a few more years, because the oldest children born in the 1990s are only 25 years old today, and the youngest are barely 15 years old.


The Big Lebowski Defense

Scott Winship | 03/26/2015

The past two weeks have seen a conversation between liberals and conservatives around the decline in marriage and its relationship to economics and cultural change. My last column argued that while marriage has declined, men’s earnings have deteriorated little if at all, making it difficult to link the two. One reaction was a sort of theoretical contortionism where declines in male earnings reduce marriage while, asymmetrically, improvements in earnings fail to raise marriage rates. 


How to Fix Disability Insurance

Scott Winship | 03/24/2015

In late 2016, right around the time we elect the 45th president of the United States, we are due for our first entitlement crisis in two decades


Is the Decline In Men’s Earnings Behind Marriage’s Demise?

Scott Winship | 03/17/2015

Over at Demos’s Policyshop blog, Matt Bruenig has a post up on whether the declining economic fortunes of men lower down the earnings distribution is behind the decline in marriage. I’m currently slammed, so I can’t give this the attention it deserves.


Yes, the Rich Have Become Poorer Since the Recession Started

Scott Winship | 02/24/2015

The top one percent is obviously not hurting by anyone’s standards, but it remains the case that income inequality is lower and the rich are poorer than at the start of the recession. 


Challenges Facing Low-Income Individuals and Families

Scott Winship | 02/12/2015

I will focus my remarks on long- and short-term trends in the American labor market over the past 25 years, seeking to clarify where we do and do not face challenges. I want to move beyond the conventional wisdom that most of the economy’s problems are long-term structural ones rather than temporary effects of the Great Recession.


Scott Winship Testimony Before the House Subcommittee on Human Resources

While policymakers face real economic challenges—including a secular rise in the duration of jobless spells, a recovery that until recently seemed to taunt us, poorer job prospects for workers with limited skills, and the continually expanding federal disability rolls—the ability of the U.S. economy to provide work for those who seek it has not diminished. Policies to help low-income individuals and families should not presume that the American job-creation machine is broken, or that our recent cyclical challenges portend a “new normal” in the coming decades.


Another (Over-) Dramatic Portrayal of the Rise in Income Inequality

Scott Winship | 01/28/2015

Berkeley economist Emmanuel Saez has published his latest estimates on income concentration in the United States, extending a series he has produced with Thomas Piketty. He concludes that the top 1 percent captured 91 percent of the income gains from 2009 to 2012. These types of results are some of the most popular depictions of inequality trends, but it is not clear that they are saying what people think they are.

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