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Articles by Scott Winship

Will Welfare Reform Increase Upward Mobility?

Scott Winship | 03/26/2015

One possible force for greater upward mobility is the welfare reforms of the 1990s. Hear me out, because I think the case is stronger than is generally admitted. We probably won’t know the answer for a few more years, because the oldest children born in the 1990s are only 25 years old today, and the youngest are barely 15 years old.

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The Big Lebowski Defense

Scott Winship | 03/26/2015

The past two weeks have seen a conversation between liberals and conservatives around the decline in marriage and its relationship to economics and cultural change. My last column argued that while marriage has declined, men’s earnings have deteriorated little if at all, making it difficult to link the two. One reaction was a sort of theoretical contortionism where declines in male earnings reduce marriage while, asymmetrically, improvements in earnings fail to raise marriage rates. 

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How to Fix Disability Insurance

Scott Winship | 03/24/2015

In late 2016, right around the time we elect the 45th president of the United States, we are due for our first entitlement crisis in two decades

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Is the Decline In Men’s Earnings Behind Marriage’s Demise?

Scott Winship | 03/17/2015

Over at Demos’s Policyshop blog, Matt Bruenig has a post up on whether the declining economic fortunes of men lower down the earnings distribution is behind the decline in marriage. I’m currently slammed, so I can’t give this the attention it deserves.

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Yes, the Rich Have Become Poorer Since the Recession Started

Scott Winship | 02/24/2015

The top one percent is obviously not hurting by anyone’s standards, but it remains the case that income inequality is lower and the rich are poorer than at the start of the recession. 

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Challenges Facing Low-Income Individuals and Families

Scott Winship | 02/12/2015

I will focus my remarks on long- and short-term trends in the American labor market over the past 25 years, seeking to clarify where we do and do not face challenges. I want to move beyond the conventional wisdom that most of the economy’s problems are long-term structural ones rather than temporary effects of the Great Recession.

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Scott Winship Testimony Before the House Subcommittee on Human Resources

While policymakers face real economic challenges—including a secular rise in the duration of jobless spells, a recovery that until recently seemed to taunt us, poorer job prospects for workers with limited skills, and the continually expanding federal disability rolls—the ability of the U.S. economy to provide work for those who seek it has not diminished. Policies to help low-income individuals and families should not presume that the American job-creation machine is broken, or that our recent cyclical challenges portend a “new normal” in the coming decades.

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Another (Over-) Dramatic Portrayal of the Rise in Income Inequality

Scott Winship | 01/28/2015

Berkeley economist Emmanuel Saez has published his latest estimates on income concentration in the United States, extending a series he has produced with Thomas Piketty. He concludes that the top 1 percent captured 91 percent of the income gains from 2009 to 2012. These types of results are some of the most popular depictions of inequality trends, but it is not clear that they are saying what people think they are.

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Sorry EPI, The Rich Did Not Steal $18,000 from the Middle-Class

Scott Winship | 01/14/2014

The next two years are sure to feature myriad claims that rising income inequality has hurt the middle class, necessitating liberal policies to pull down the top. Invariably, these claims convey overly negative impressions of how the middle class is doing, omit important contextual details, exaggerate the extent to which inequality has risen, or otherwise present an inaccurate case that inequality is the source of all our troubles. 

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